Disagreement

Presenter: Daniela Puzzello Affiliation: Indiana University, Department of Economics. Paper: Simulating the Survey of Professional Forecasters. Date: February 25, 2024. Time: 13:00 GMT (15:00 Israel Time) Abstract: We simulate economic predictions of professional forecasters using a set of large language models (LLMs). We create AI forecaster personas by combining a unique hand-gathered dataset of Survey … Read more