Presenter: Michael McMahon Affiliation: University of Oxford, Department of Economics. Paper: Tough Talk: The Fed and the Risk Premium. Date: November 5, 2024. Time: 13:00 GMT (15:00 Israel Time) Abstract: We study how monetary policy affects financial risk premia. Unlike existing studies, we focus on the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC’s) forward-looking policy stance, beyond … Read more
Presenter: Anna Cieslak Affiliation: Duke University, Fuqua School of Business. Paper: Policymakers’ Uncertainty. Date: September 17, 2024. Time: 12:00 GMT (15:00 Israel Time) Abstract: We examine how uncertainty impacts decision-making by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Drawing from private deliberations, we quantify the uncertainty types the FOMC perceives and their policy impact. Inflation uncertainty … Read more
We study optimal monetary policy and central bank communication when firms make nominal pricing decisions under uncertainty and when the monetary authority likewise has incomplete information about the current economic state. We find that the optimal monetary policy implements flexible-price allocations despite this multitude of measurability constraints; we explore a series of different implementations. Away from such policies, we find that public communication by the central bank is welfare-improving as long as either firm information or central bank information is sufficiently precise.