22.03.2022: Michèle Tertilt – Consumer credit with over-optimistic borrowers

Presenter: Michèle Tertilt Affiliation: University of Mannheim, Department of Economics. Paper: Consumer Credit with Over-Optimistic Borrowers. Date: March 22, 2022 Time: 13:00 GMT Abstract: Do cognitive biases call for regulation to limit the use of credit? We incorporate over-optimistic and rational borrowers into an incomplete markets model with consumer bankruptcy. Over-optimists face worse income risk … Read more

15.03.2022: Jordi Galí – Monetary policy and endogenous financial crises

Presenter: Jordi Galí Affiliation: Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Department of Economics, CREI and Barcelona GSE. Paper: Monetary Policy and Endogenous Financial Crises Date: March 15, 2022 Time: 13:00 GMT Abstract: We study whether a central bank should deviate from its objective of price stability to promote financial stability. We tackle this question within a textbook New … Read more

22.02.2022: Lawrence H. Summers – The Fed’s strategy review: relevance for small open economies

Presenter: Lawrence H. Summers Affiliation: Harvard University Talk title: The Fed’s Strategy Review: Relevance for Small Open Economies. Date: February 22, 2022 Time: 13:30 GMT Click here to attend this seminar

08.02.2022: Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan – Five facts about the UIP premium

Presenter: Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan Affiliation: University of Maryland, Department of Economics. Paper: Five Facts about the UIP Premium. Date: February 8, 2022 Time: 13:00 GMT Abstract: We document five novel facts about Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) deviations vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar for 34 currencies of advanced economies and emerging markets, using survey data on expected exchange … Read more

01.02.2022: Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé – Optimal bank reserve remuneration and capital control policy

Presenter: Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé Affiliation: Columbia University, Department of Economics Paper: Optimal Bank Reserve Remuneration and Capital Control Policy (slides) Date: February 1st, 2022 Time: 13:00 GMT Abstract: A central prediction of open economy models with a pecuniary externality due to a collateral constraint is that the unregulated economy overborrows relative to what occurs under optimal … Read more

11.01.2022: Ricardo Reis – How likely is an inflation disaster?

Presenter: Ricardo Reis Affiliation: London School of Economics and Political Science Paper: How Likely Is an Inflation Disaster? Date: January 11, 2022 Time: 13:00 GMT Abstract: The prices of inflation options hold the promise of giving the probability of inflation being either very high or very low at long horizons. To realize this promise requires … Read more

04.01.2022: Toni Whited – Bank market power and monetary policy transmission: evidence from a structural estimation

Presenter: Toni Whited Affiliation: University of Michigan, Ross School of Business. Paper: Bank Market Power and Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence from a Structural Estimation (Journal of Finance, forthcoming). Date: January 4, 2022 Time: 13:00 GMT Abstract: We quantify the impact of bank market power on monetary policy transmission through banks to borrowers. We estimate a … Read more

28.12.2021: Cynthia Wu – Average inflation targeting: time inconsistency and intentional ambiguity

Presenter: Cynthia Wu Affiliation: University of Notre Dame, Department of Economics Paper: Average Inflation Targeting: Time Inconsistency and Intentional Ambiguity Date: December 28, 2021. Time: 13:00 GMT We study the implications of the Fed’s new policy framework of average inflation targeting (AIT) and its ambiguous communication. The central bank has the incentive to deviate from … Read more

14.12.2021: Jean Tirole – Industrial monetary policy

Presenter: Jean Tirole Affiliation: Toulouse School of Economics Paper: Industrial Monetary Policy Date: December 14, 2021 Time: 13:00 GMT Abstract: We consider “industrial monetary policies”: Liquidity support policies through which authorities shape the location and continuation of economic activity on their soil, with consequences for banks’ international specialization, place of incorporation, charter of affiliates and … Read more

30.11.2021: Nikolai Roussanov – Getting to the core: inflation risks within and across asset classes

Presenter: Nikolai Roussanov Affiliation: University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School Paper: Getting to the Core: Inflation Risks Within and Across Asset Classes (slides) Date: November 30, 2021 Time: 13:00 GMT Abstract: Decomposing inflation into core and non-core components (e.g., energy) sheds new light on the nature of inflation risk and risk premia. While stocks have insignificant … Read more